TS Felix as of this post has just been upgraded to Hurricane status and is now known as Hurricane Felix, a Category One Hurricane expected to intensify in strength in the near future.
Currently, all but one of the tracking models are showing this storm to be well south of Cancun in its projections.
wunderground.com/tropical/…a_topad
There appears to be LIMITED to NO Threat To Cancun at this time.
Below is the NHC Report at 8 PM;
Statement as of 8:00 PM AST on September 01, 2007
...Felix becomes a hurricane...new watch for Jamaica...
at 8 PM AST...0000 UTC...the government of Jamaica has issued a
tropical storm watch for Jamaica. A tropical storm watch means
that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the islands of
Aruba...Bonaire and Curacao. A Tropical Storm Warning means that
tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean Sea should
closely monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 800 PM AST...0000z...the center of Hurricane Felix was
located near latitude 12.6 north...longitude 66.0 west or about
155 miles...250 km east-northeast of Bonaire and about
270 miles...435 km...east of Aruba.
Felix is moving toward the west near 18 mph...30 km/hr...and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.
On this track...Felix will be passing near or to the north of the
islands of Aruba...Bonaire and Curacao late tonight or early Sunday
morning.
Reports from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with
higher gusts. This makes Felix a category one hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Additional strengthening is
expected during the next 24 hours.
Data from the stepped frequency microwave radiometer on board the
hurricane hunter indicate that hurricane force winds extend outward
up to 15 miles...25 km...from the center and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km...primarily to the
north of the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane hunter
is 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible over the offshore
islands of Venezuela and the Netherlands Antilles islands of
Aruba...Bonaire and Curacao.
Repeating the 800 PM AST position...12.6 N...66.0 W. Movement
toward...west near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70 mph.
Minimum central pressure...999 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Beven
